Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Krugman: America's Third Depression

From his Sunday NYTimes editorial, Paul Krugman writes:

Recessions are common; depressions are rare. As far as I can tell, there were only two eras in economic history that were widely described as “depressions” at the time: the years of deflation and instability that followed the Panic of 1873 and the years of mass unemployment that followed the financial crisis of 1929-31.

Neither the Long Depression of the 19th century nor the Great Depression of the 20th was an era of nonstop decline — on the contrary, both included periods when the economy grew. But these episodes of improvement were never enough to undo the damage from the initial slump, and were followed by relapses.

We are now, I fear, in the early stages of a third depression. It will probably look more like the Long Depression than the much more severe Great Depression. But the cost — to the world economy and, above all, to the millions of lives blighted by the absence of jobs — will nonetheless be immense.

I disagree with his prescribed medicine -- that more government spending is the right policy -- but his diagnosis is fair.

Tim White

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Come on Tim, the kids have to go to bed sometime. :-)
Enjoy the break, you deserve it.