tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post5264351412778435908..comments2024-02-12T04:30:53.556-05:00Comments on Tim White Listens: No Joe = Smurf for Senate = fun in the CT-5 !!!Tim Whitehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16588518063096822071noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-32701654336964071232011-01-27T22:06:46.449-05:002011-01-27T22:06:46.449-05:00Tim,
Paul Vance of Waterbury is a former alderman...Tim,<br /><br />Paul Vance of Waterbury is a former alderman and unsuccessful mayoral candidate for that city. He is an attorney.<br />He is the son of Lt. J. Paul Vance, the state police spokesman.<br />And on the GOP side, let's not forget former state Sen. Sam Caligiuri, who just gave Chris Murphy a tight race in the 5th.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-58022129250439614802011-01-23T20:43:06.656-05:002011-01-23T20:43:06.656-05:00I'm not so sure. For Washington, you need to ...I'm not so sure. For Washington, you need to raise money. And who among the Dems has raised money ever? I'm not sure, but I doubt any of them. And in his district, Donovan's never had to raise money. He just raises taxes.<br /><br />Most Dem activists in the CT-5 are probably unfamiliar with any of the candidates. But they will pay attention to the fundraising numbers. If Esty jumps in and starts raising money (no doubt she could gauge support without declaring her candidacy), I expect activists will start paying attention to her and she will be a contender.<br /><br />With her pedigree (Yale / Harvard) and other friends (the Obama Administration), I'm confident she can raise money. The question that I see as being unanswered is if she can raise it quickly... same explanation that Murph gave for his quick entry here.<br /><br />But she's got another question to ponder... if she does jump into the CT-5, she's definitely narrowing her window for another attempt at either the 103rd or 13th. If Len Suzio wins the 13th special, then it's a dem primary for the 13th in 2012. And with public funding, that means she stays quiet longer... also effectively leaving the door open for the 103rd.<br /><br />Frankly, I think any of the three are possibilities for her at this time. But as she acts, those doors may begin to close.<br /><br />Personally, I think she could outraise anyone else in a CT-5 dem primary. And, unlike legislative seats, money is the biggest issue in running for Congress. So I see that as her strength... and where she'll end up going.<br /><br />I think she's far from done. Just need to wait to see what she's planning. But with words from Joe Courtney about him losing in Nov 2002 because he didn't get into the race "until" Sept 2001, it makes me think that EE will make a decision soon.Tim Whitehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16588518063096822071noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-12742753287301689252011-01-23T19:57:57.864-05:002011-01-23T19:57:57.864-05:00Esty is done.Esty is done.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-88552163247970740872011-01-20T17:37:08.770-05:002011-01-20T17:37:08.770-05:0010:52... interesting point. But with a Dem Govern...10:52... interesting point. But with a Dem Governor, Dem majorities in both houses and five Dem CongressCritters, I don't expect many changes with redistricting... with one possible exception.<br /><br />With Murphy no longer interested... Larson, Delauro and Himes may lobby the legislature to shift some border areas. For example... Delauro may want to move Bethany and Prospect to the fifth and move south Cheshire to the 3rd. I could see some changes, such as that, happening.tim whitenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-69545784346435361762011-01-20T17:30:05.307-05:002011-01-20T17:30:05.307-05:00Donovan for CT-5? May be possible. But he's ...Donovan for CT-5? May be possible. But he's corrupt. No way I would ever vote for him. And I'll constantly remind everyone how he traded an early Speakership in exchange for a $120,000 / yr no-show job with his predecessor, Crusher. But even worse, Donovan has been an entirely ineffective Speaker... who also lives in denial.tim whitenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-60368736306382686652011-01-20T17:26:19.234-05:002011-01-20T17:26:19.234-05:009:14... true. And I'm not sure where the dist...9:14... true. And I'm not sure where the district lines were in the 1990s. But I know the 5th covered the Danbury, Wtby, Meriden stretch, but not New Britain.tim whitenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-58542525904374985662011-01-20T10:52:33.192-05:002011-01-20T10:52:33.192-05:00Some of the candidates mentioned might not be in f...Some of the candidates mentioned might not be in fifth district after completion of redistricting for 2012 electionAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-64889851943256449112011-01-20T10:16:09.259-05:002011-01-20T10:16:09.259-05:00Tim,
Look for Chris Donovan to get the democratic...Tim,<br /><br />Look for Chris Donovan to get the democratic nod as well as Sam Caligiuri to try again despite getting trounced in a GOP year, in a GOP leaning district.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21123853.post-43977566395762485082011-01-20T09:14:17.635-05:002011-01-20T09:14:17.635-05:00A footnote to your 5th District cast of characters...A footnote to your 5th District cast of characters - CT lost their 6th District seat, pushing Nancy Johnson into the 5th.<br /><br />Not that J.Paul Vance (Lieut. CT State Police) - I suspect it is his son.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com